Color revolutions in the post-Soviet space (2003–2022)

Abstract

The article analyses successful and unsuccessful attempts at colour revolutions that took place in the post-Soviet space between 2003 and 2022. Based on the results, universal features are identified and a common algorithm is formulated. Common features of successful colour revolutions in the post-Soviet space include, in particular, the goal of depriving Russia of a real or potential ally, a contrived reason for discontent, usually related to violations of electoral law, the resulting demands of protesters, the use of methods for organising protests and the active use of information resources, recognisable symbols, the promotion of a symbolic leader as a ‘true fighter against dictatorship,’ support for the protest by international organisations, foreign states and foundations in various forms, as well as the consequences in the form of the dismantling of the former political regime and its incorporation into the sphere of influence of the collective West. The mechanism of the color revolutions itself is divided into three successive stages: canvassing stage – creating a negative image of the current government in the public consciousness and preparing the driving force for future protests, active stage – choice of a formal reason for rallies and their direct organization throughout the country, and the final stage – coming to power of the political elite that adhere to pro-Western guidelines. It is noted that over the past 5 years, not a single colour revolution in the former Soviet Union states has been successful. The authors conclude that in modern conditions it is possible to state the failure of the Western plan for colour revolutions.